The trade agreement signed by the Trump administration raises tariff levels, making the Trans-Pacific trade environment more uncertain, which adds pressure on global businesses and economic cooperation. Companies face risks of rising costs, making it increasingly important to seek alternative solutions to navigate the uncertainty.
Recent changes in China-U.S. trade policies have led to a dramatic increase in trans-Pacific freight volume, causing concerns among surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises. Despite a recovery in the market, container shipping rates continue to rise, and foreseeable policy adjustments pose challenges for the future of the shipping market.
Transpacific shipping rates have recently surged, driven by a confluence of factors including trade relations, port congestion, and capacity constraints. The future trend hinges on the interplay of supply and demand, tariff policies, and port efficiency. Stakeholders need to closely monitor market dynamics. The rapid increase presents challenges and opportunities for businesses involved in international trade. Understanding the underlying causes and potential future scenarios is crucial for effective planning and decision-making in the global supply chain.
Although the trans-Pacific ocean freight container rates are on a downward trend, they remain approximately $1,000/FEU higher compared to the same period last year. The calm period after the Spring Festival has led to a price decline, and it is expected that as service models return to normal, contract rates will decrease.
U.S. retailers are gradually adapting to the new normal of fluctuating tariff policies, focusing more on market information and supply-demand dynamics to optimize their import strategies and cost management. They enhance supply chain efficiency through effective communication and data analysis, actively responding to the uncertainty in trade.
Due to the impact of maritime pre-transport, the trans-Pacific air freight market is facing challenges of shrinking demand and low freight rates. In the coming months, it is expected that both air freight volume and rates will struggle to recover. The industry needs to reassess market strategies to tackle these challenges.
Global container throughput is recovering, but freight rates are plummeting. The World Container Index (WCI) has fallen for six consecutive weeks, down 57% year-on-year. Transpacific route freight rates have decreased significantly, mainly due to slowing demand and tariff policies. Analysts predict that freight rates will continue to decline, and the shipping industry may face severe challenges. The dramatic drop in rates despite increased volume suggests underlying shifts in global trade dynamics and potential overcapacity in the shipping sector.
The Flexport Ocean Timeliness Indicator (OTI) is a crucial tool for measuring global ocean freight stress. It tracks containers from factory to destination port, providing weekly data for Transpacific and Far East routes. By analyzing the OTI and its First Mile Index, businesses can understand current ocean shipping conditions, forecast future trends, optimize supply chain strategies, and improve decision-making efficiency. The OTI offers valuable insights into the complexities of ocean freight, enabling proactive responses to potential disruptions and enhancing overall supply chain resilience.
Increased US tariffs on Chinese goods have led to a sharp decline in export bookings from China to the US, forcing shipping companies to cancel sailings. Despite tariff exemptions granted by the US government, a significant volume of transpacific container imports remains affected. Shipping lines like Hede, Matson, SeaLead, TS Lines, and COSCO are facing increased pressure as the industry navigates transformative challenges. The reduction in trade volume is directly impacting their operations and profitability, forcing them to adapt to the new economic landscape.
