Transpacific Shipping Rates Drop but Stay Above 2022 Levels

Although the trans-Pacific ocean freight container rates are on a downward trend, they remain approximately $1,000/FEU higher compared to the same period last year. The calm period after the Spring Festival has led to a price decline, and it is expected that as service models return to normal, contract rates will decrease.
Transpacific Shipping Rates Drop but Stay Above 2022 Levels

In the current global logistics market, trans-Pacific container shipping rates are experiencing a downward trend, though they remain significantly higher than the same period last year. According to the latest analysis from Freightos, the Baltic Dry Index shows that freight rates from Asia to the U.S. West Coast dropped 8% week-over-week to $4,362 per 40-foot equivalent unit (FEU) as of February 21. Meanwhile, Asia-to-U.S. East Coast prices fell 11% to $5,698/FEU.

Post-Lunar New Year Market Correction

Freightos Research Director Judah Levine noted that the post-Chinese New Year market adjustment has driven a 30% decline in shipping rates since January . Despite this recent drop, container shipping costs on these routes remain approximately $1,000/FEU higher than year-ago levels.

"The Q4 2023 rate surge was primarily driven by shippers front-loading cargo to avoid potential tariff increases," Levine explained. "As ocean service patterns normalize and new vessel capacity comes online, we expect market pricing to stabilize."

Market Stabilization Expected Through 2025

Industry analysts observe that while current prices have retreated from their peaks, they continue to trade at elevated levels—reflecting both the gradual recovery of global supply chains and sustained demand growth. Market participants are advised to closely monitor transportation cost trends to optimize operational strategies.

Levine projects that contract rates may see further reductions through 2025 as the market achieves healthier equilibrium. The integration of new vessel deliveries and restored service reliability are expected to contribute to this stabilization process.