US Freight Decline Points to Economic Slowdown

US Freight Decline Points to Economic Slowdown

The Cass Freight Index indicates a decline in both U.S. freight volumes and expenditures in August, signaling a potential economic slowdown. Freight volumes decreased by 9.3% year-over-year and 1.5% month-over-month. Freight expenditures fell by 0.4% year-over-year and 2.8% month-over-month. This data reflects weakening consumer demand and corporate inventory adjustments, raising concerns about future economic trends. The index serves as a warning sign, suggesting a possible deceleration in economic activity.

11/03/2025 Logistics
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Trucking Conditions Briefly Improve but Challenges Persist

Trucking Conditions Briefly Improve but Challenges Persist

The FTR Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) showed a brief improvement in the US trucking industry in May, primarily driven by lower diesel prices and a slightly better freight rate environment. However, significant excess capacity remains a major challenge, making the road to recovery difficult. Market participants should exercise cautious optimism, closely monitor market dynamics, and aim for steady progress. The temporary boost doesn't negate the underlying issues plaguing the sector.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Industry Adapts to Logistics Challenges Says Expert

Freight Industry Adapts to Logistics Challenges Says Expert

Tom Nightingale of AFS Logistics interprets the latest freight index report, analyzing peak season outlook, capacity pricing, nearshoring, and the impact of the Baltimore event on supply chains. He emphasizes that businesses should closely monitor market dynamics, flexibly adjust strategies, and collaborate with professional logistics partners to navigate challenges and seize opportunities. He advises proactive planning and strategic partnerships to mitigate risks and optimize supply chain performance in the face of evolving market conditions.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Industry Faces Winter Challenges Amid Fragile Recovery

Trucking Industry Faces Winter Challenges Amid Fragile Recovery

The FTR Trucking Conditions Index indicates a slight recovery in the US trucking industry, but it still faces challenges such as weak demand, intense freight rate competition, and excess capacity. Weak manufacturing data exacerbates industry uncertainty. Trucking companies need to control costs, improve service quality, and pay attention to market dynamics to meet these challenges. The industry's future development will require transformation and adjustment. The recovery is fragile and dependent on broader economic improvements.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Sector Strengthens As LTL Weakens Parcel Rates Hold TD Cowen

Trucking Sector Strengthens As LTL Weakens Parcel Rates Hold TD Cowen

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index indicates emerging light in the trucking market, though overcapacity remains a challenge. Parcel shipping pricing strategies are effective, but discount competition is fierce. Less-than-truckload (LTL) pricing remains strong, but declining fuel surcharges suggest potential loosening of pricing discipline. Businesses need to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust their strategies to navigate these evolving conditions, balancing opportunities with ongoing pressures from excess capacity and competitive pricing.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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New Cowenafs Index Aims to Predict Transportation Market Trends

New Cowenafs Index Aims to Predict Transportation Market Trends

The Cowen/AFS Freight Index is a quarterly report designed to provide institutional investors with predictive pricing tools covering key freight sectors like Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), Truckload (TL), and Parcel. Leveraging AFS Logistics' vast data and Cowen's expert analysis, the index offers forward-looking, granular, and technology-driven market insights to empower investment decisions. It aims to provide a comprehensive view of the freight market, enabling informed strategies and risk management for investors navigating the complexities of the transportation industry.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

The Cowen/AFS Freight Index indicates a slight increase in LTL rates in Q3, driven by factors like Yellow's bankruptcy and soft demand. Parcel rates decreased. A muted peak season is anticipated for Q4, with limited TL freight growth. The index reflects the current complex and volatile freight market, along with a trend of shippers actively optimizing their logistics networks. The impact of Yellow's exit and ongoing economic uncertainty are key factors shaping the near-term outlook for the industry.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Industry Index Signals Looming Market Downturn

Trucking Industry Index Signals Looming Market Downturn

The FTR Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) has turned negative, reflecting declining freight rates and softening demand in the US trucking market. Experts believe the market has returned to neutral, with future trends remaining uncertain. Trucking companies need to improve operational efficiency, expand service offerings, strengthen customer relationships, embrace technological innovation, and closely monitor market dynamics to address challenges and seize opportunities. The negative TCI signals a shift in the industry landscape, requiring proactive strategies for survival and growth.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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FTR Trucking Index Rebounds Hinting at Industry Recovery

FTR Trucking Index Rebounds Hinting at Industry Recovery

The FTR Trucking Conditions Index (TCI) is a key indicator for assessing the US trucking market environment. Recent data shows that the TCI rebounded in November, driven by stable diesel prices and slight increases in freight volume and rates. FTR forecasts that the TCI will remain stable in the short term, with a slight decline possible in the long term. Businesses should closely monitor TCI changes to develop appropriate business strategies, seize market opportunities, and address potential risks.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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