Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

The Cowen/AFS Freight Index indicates a slight increase in LTL rates in Q3, driven by factors like Yellow's bankruptcy and soft demand. Parcel rates decreased. A muted peak season is anticipated for Q4, with limited TL freight growth. The index reflects the current complex and volatile freight market, along with a trend of shippers actively optimizing their logistics networks. The impact of Yellow's exit and ongoing economic uncertainty are key factors shaping the near-term outlook for the industry.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Braces for Winter Slowdown TD Cowen Reports

Freight Market Braces for Winter Slowdown TD Cowen Reports

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a complex US freight market: LTL rates are up, parcel rates are down, and truckload remains stable. Businesses need to closely monitor these shifts and optimize their strategies to navigate the evolving landscape. The index highlights the ongoing volatility and the importance of data-driven decision-making in managing transportation costs. Understanding these trends is crucial for shippers to effectively manage their supply chains and maintain a competitive edge in the current environment.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Fedex Freight Delays NMFC System Overhaul Adoption

Fedex Freight Delays NMFC System Overhaul Adoption

The National Motor Freight Traffic Association (NMFTA) has implemented significant updates to its National Motor Freight Classification (NMFC) system, aiming to improve efficiency and transparency in freight classification. Despite LTL giant FedEx Freight announcing a delay in implementation, this change will have a profound impact on the logistics industry, requiring businesses to reassess their logistics strategies. The updates necessitate careful review and potential adjustments to ensure compliance and optimize freight costs. Businesses should proactively analyze the changes to mitigate potential disruptions and maintain competitive pricing.

08/13/2025 Logistics
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Freight Index Predicts Weaker Peak Season As Markets Diverge

Freight Index Predicts Weaker Peak Season As Markets Diverge

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index report predicts a potentially weak peak season this year. Overcapacity in truckload is putting pressure on pricing, while the less-than-truckload (LTL) market shows steady progress. The parcel market is driven by e-commerce promotions but faces intense competition. Businesses should take a rational view of market changes and optimize their supply chain strategies. The report suggests that companies need to be prepared for a less robust peak season than in previous years and adjust their expectations accordingly.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

TD Cowen Index Shows Freight Market Cooling Amid Economic Pressures

Freight indices indicate peak season strength or weakness, with varying activity across different transportation markets. LTL rates are increasing, parcel rates are decreasing, and truckload rates remain stable. Influenced by macroeconomic factors and others, flexibility and responsiveness are crucial. The freight index provides insights into the current state of the logistics market and helps businesses understand the trends in transportation rates, enabling them to make informed decisions and adapt to market fluctuations effectively. Monitoring these indicators is key for navigating the complexities of the logistics landscape.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Truck Driver Shortage Drives Up Freight Labor Costs

Truck Driver Shortage Drives Up Freight Labor Costs

According to the American Trucking Associations, the driver turnover rate at large truckload carriers surged to 92% in the third quarter, while smaller carriers reached 74%. Less-than-truckload (LTL) remained relatively stable at 14%. This high turnover reflects challenges in the freight market, including driver shortages and increased competition. Companies need to actively address these issues to ensure supply chain stability and mitigate the impact of driver attrition on their operations. Addressing driver retention is crucial for maintaining service levels and profitability in the current environment.

01/21/2026 Logistics
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US Freight Pricing Trends Shift Amid Trade War Uncertainty

US Freight Pricing Trends Shift Amid Trade War Uncertainty

The freight market is experiencing increased uncertainty due to tariffs and consumer confidence fluctuations. Full truckload, parcel, and less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation are each undergoing changes, leading to frequent adjustments in pricing strategies. The impact of tariffs on trade flows is a significant factor influencing freight volumes and rates. Analyzing these trends is crucial for shippers and carriers to navigate the evolving market conditions and optimize their operations. Monitoring freight indices and understanding tariff implications are key to making informed decisions in this dynamic environment.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Arcbest Pivots From Freight to Integrated Logistics Solutions

Arcbest Pivots From Freight to Integrated Logistics Solutions

ArcBest transformed from a traditional freight company into an integrated logistics solutions provider through rebranding, business diversification, and technological innovation. This strategy reduces its reliance on traditional LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) business and caters to customers' demand for one-stop solutions. Analysts believe this diversification strategy will help improve profit margins and valuation. ArcBest's transformation offers valuable lessons for traditional freight companies seeking to adapt to the evolving logistics landscape. This move positions them to better navigate market changes and offer a wider range of services.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 2025 Freight Index Shows Weak Demand Amid Recovery Signs

Q1 2025 Freight Index Shows Weak Demand Amid Recovery Signs

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals varying recovery signs across transportation modes despite persistent soft demand and overcapacity. Truckload spot market shows positive signals, parcel pricing strategies are effective, and LTL pricing discipline shows cracks. The report offers decision-making insights for shippers and carriers, highlighting the nuances of the current freight market. It analyzes key trends and provides a comprehensive overview of the factors influencing freight rates and capacity across different segments, offering valuable context for navigating the evolving landscape.

01/17/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

Freight Market Rebounds As TD Cowen Index Signals Rate Hikes

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q1 report reveals mixed performance across transportation modes amidst soft demand and excess capacity. Truckload shows promise with rising spot rates, but contract rates remain under pressure. Parcel saw effective pricing adjustments, though discounts persist. LTL rates are stable, but pricing discipline may be loosening. The report anticipates potential rate increases in the future, suggesting a possible shift in the freight market dynamics. Overall, the index highlights the ongoing challenges and potential opportunities within the current freight environment.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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