TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Trends Tariffs and LTLTL Shifts

TD Cowen Analyzes Freight Market Trends Tariffs and LTLTL Shifts

At the SMC3 JumpStart 2025 conference, TD Cowen Managing Director Jason Seidl shared his unique insights on the freight economy, tariff impacts, AI applications, nearshoring, M&A activity, and LTL/TL market trends. His presentation provided valuable market analysis and strategic advice for businesses navigating the complexities of the current freight landscape. He highlighted key factors shaping the industry and offered actionable recommendations for companies looking to optimize their logistics operations and capitalize on emerging opportunities. Seidl's expertise offered attendees a comprehensive understanding of the forces at play in the freight market.

01/20/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Rail Freight Volumes Rise in Late August Signaling Recovery

US Rail Freight Volumes Rise in Late August Signaling Recovery

According to the Association of American Railroads, U.S. rail freight and intermodal volumes both increased year-over-year for the week ending August 30th. Chemical and metallic ores shipments showed strong performance, while petroleum and grain shipments declined. Year-to-date freight and intermodal volumes also demonstrated growth. Rail transport faces competition from trucking and challenges from environmental policies. Future development requires strengthened technological innovation and improved service quality to maintain competitiveness and meet evolving demands.

01/22/2026 Logistics
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US Rail Freight Sees Split Trends in Carload Intermodal Volumes

US Rail Freight Sees Split Trends in Carload Intermodal Volumes

According to the Association of American Railroads, for the week ending August 23rd, U.S. rail carloads increased by 0.6% year-over-year, while intermodal traffic decreased by 1.9%. Grain and automotive shipments showed strong performance, while oil and coal shipments declined. Year-to-date figures still indicate solid growth. Railroad companies need to improve efficiency, invest in infrastructure, expand services, and focus on sustainable development.

01/22/2026 Logistics
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US Retail Sector Defies Challenges Projects Growth

US Retail Sector Defies Challenges Projects Growth

U.S. retail sales saw a modest increase in June, but consumer spending growth is slowing. E-commerce remains strong, with sectors like healthcare and electronics experiencing growth, while furniture and building materials declined due to the housing market. Experts believe consumers are cautiously optimistic, allowing the retail industry to avoid a recession. The second half of the year requires attention to online-offline integration, personalized customization, sustainable consumption, and technological innovation.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Trucking Market Slump Continues Amid Modest Rate Increases DAT

Trucking Market Slump Continues Amid Modest Rate Increases DAT

DAT reports that the US truckload freight market remained weak in October, with decreased freight volumes. Spot rates saw a slight increase but were still lower than the same period last year. Experts predict continued challenges in 2025, with an increased risk of broker bankruptcies. Industry participants are advised to closely monitor market dynamics, optimize operations, flexibly adjust strategies, and strengthen risk management practices.

01/22/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Rebounds As Imports and Consumer Spending Rise

Freight Market Rebounds As Imports and Consumer Spending Rise

The freight market is showing signs of recovery after facing a series of challenges. Continued growth in U.S. imports, increased truck tonnage, and rising intermodal volumes are contributing to the positive trend. A rebound in consumer spending is also injecting vitality into the market. While uncertainties remain, these positive signals suggest that the freight market may be emerging from its downturn. The combination of import activity, freight volume, and consumer behavior offers a glimmer of hope for a more robust future.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Logistics Sector Struggles With Rising Costs Warehousing Shortages

Logistics Sector Struggles With Rising Costs Warehousing Shortages

The latest LMI report indicates a second consecutive month of expansion in the logistics industry, despite rising costs and warehousing constraints. High inventory costs and warehousing pressures highlight the consequences of earlier stockpiling. The report also reveals the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty and trade policies, emphasizing the need for companies to optimize inventory management, find effective warehousing solutions, improve transportation efficiency, and closely monitor trade policy changes. This will enable them to navigate uncertainty and identify growth opportunities.

01/08/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Prologis Report Indicates Logistics Real Estate Demand Shift

Prologis Report Indicates Logistics Real Estate Demand Shift

Prologis IBI indicates a stronger-than-expected recovery in logistics real estate demand. Increased confidence and utilization rates are driving this demand, while vacancy rates remain stable. This suggests that rental growth may accelerate. The IBI exceeding expectations points to a positive outlook for the sector, driven by improved business conditions and a greater need for warehousing and distribution space.

01/07/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Resilient in November Amid Winter Challenges

Freight Market Resilient in November Amid Winter Challenges

DAT's latest report indicates that while overall freight volumes declined in November, they showed growth within the month. Dry van and refrigerated freight volumes decreased year-over-year, while flatbed volumes increased. Freight rates continued to decline due to excess capacity. Experts predict spot rates may have bottomed out and are expected to rebound in Q1 of next year, with the market moving towards normalization. Freight companies need to pay attention to market dynamics and respond flexibly. The report highlights the need for adaptability in the current freight environment.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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US Truckload Demand Weakens in September Amid Minor Rate Rise

US Truckload Demand Weakens in September Amid Minor Rate Rise

The US truckload freight market in September exhibited a peculiar phenomenon: volume decreased while rates increased. DAT data indicates a decline in dry van and refrigerated freight volumes, with a slight increase in flatbed. Spot rates generally rose, but contract rates showed mixed trends. Analysts suggest the rate increase isn't demand-driven but rather due to freight imbalances and capacity shifts, indicating structural market issues and potential challenges for the peak season. Carriers should be wary of risks, as the industry may face a downturn.

01/21/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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