Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season TD Cowen

The Cowen/AFS Freight Index indicates a slight increase in LTL rates in Q3, driven by factors like Yellow's bankruptcy and soft demand. Parcel rates decreased. A muted peak season is anticipated for Q4, with limited TL freight growth. The index reflects the current complex and volatile freight market, along with a trend of shippers actively optimizing their logistics networks. The impact of Yellow's exit and ongoing economic uncertainty are key factors shaping the near-term outlook for the industry.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Braces for Winter Slowdown TD Cowen Reports

Freight Market Braces for Winter Slowdown TD Cowen Reports

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a complex US freight market: LTL rates are up, parcel rates are down, and truckload remains stable. Businesses need to closely monitor these shifts and optimize their strategies to navigate the evolving landscape. The index highlights the ongoing volatility and the importance of data-driven decision-making in managing transportation costs. Understanding these trends is crucial for shippers to effectively manage their supply chains and maintain a competitive edge in the current environment.

01/19/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Parcel LTL and Truckload Rates Show Diverging Trends in Q3

Parcel LTL and Truckload Rates Show Diverging Trends in Q3

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index Q3 report reveals unprecedented discounts in parcel shipping due to intense competition. Less-than-truckload (LTL) shipments experienced a decline in average weight per shipment, but pricing remained stable. Truckload (TL) continues to face weak demand and excess capacity. The index analyzes various factors to provide market participants with valuable insights for informed decision-making. It offers a comprehensive overview of current freight market dynamics across different modes of transportation, highlighting key trends and potential challenges.

01/26/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Rising Diesel Costs Strain Shippers Risk Supply Chain Disruptions

Rising Diesel Costs Strain Shippers Risk Supply Chain Disruptions

The FTR Shippers Conditions Index (SCI) fell below zero in August, the first time since October 2022, indicating a worsening environment for shippers. Soaring diesel prices were the primary driver, offsetting the benefits of ample capacity. Shippers face challenges such as increased transportation costs and reduced bargaining power. Strategies for shippers include optimizing routes and building long-term partnerships. Data-driven decision-making is crucial for enhancing freight resilience. The index suggests shippers need to proactively adapt to the changing market dynamics to mitigate potential negative impacts.

01/18/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Chinas Logistics Real Estate Market Shows Recovery Signs

Chinas Logistics Real Estate Market Shows Recovery Signs

The GLP IBI Index report suggests a potential rebound in logistics real estate demand. The Q3 IBI activity index reached 53, with net absorption, new lease signings, and planned project reserves all exceeding the 2024 average. Large enterprises and e-commerce giants are driving growth, with other industries expected to follow. The market recovery is projected to be non-linear. This indicates a positive shift in the logistics real estate sector, suggesting a potential bottoming out and subsequent growth driven by key industry players.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Faces Challenges Opportunities Amid Tariff Shifts TD Cowen

Freight Market Faces Challenges Opportunities Amid Tariff Shifts TD Cowen

The TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals the impact of factors like tariffs and demand shifts on the freight market, analyzing key trends and challenges in truckload, parcel, and LTL transportation. The index utilizes data models to provide market insights, helping businesses navigate uncertainty and optimize transportation strategies. It highlights the influence of economic factors and evolving consumer behavior on freight rates and capacity, offering valuable information for informed decision-making in a dynamic market environment. This allows companies to adapt and improve their supply chain efficiency.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season Amid Cooling Demand

Freight Market Braces for Weak Peak Season Amid Cooling Demand

The latest Cowen/AFS Freight Index report suggests a potentially weak traditional peak season. Analyzing rate changes and future trends in LTL, parcel, and truckload, the report identifies soft demand and macroeconomic uncertainty as key influencing factors. Businesses need to closely monitor market dynamics, flexibly adjust supply chain strategies, and focus on sustainability to address future challenges. The index provides valuable insights for navigating the evolving logistics landscape and optimizing freight management in a volatile economic environment. Understanding these trends is crucial for maintaining competitiveness and resilience.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Q1 Trucking Gains Amid Parcel Pricing Shifts LTL Weakness

Q1 Trucking Gains Amid Parcel Pricing Shifts LTL Weakness

The TD Cowen-AFS Freight Index Q1 report indicates flat but promising truckload demand, successful yet competitive parcel pricing strategies, and firm but fracturing LTL rates. The report offers valuable market trend insights for freight market participants. While truckload shows signs of improvement, parcel faces intense competition. LTL, though currently stable, shows potential weaknesses. The index provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the freight market, assisting stakeholders in making informed decisions based on observed trends and pricing dynamics across different modes of transport.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Freight Market Sentiment Mixed in Q3 TD Cowen Reports

Freight Market Sentiment Mixed in Q3 TD Cowen Reports

The latest TD Cowen/AFS Freight Index reveals a diverging Q3 logistics market: unprecedented parcel discounts, resilient LTL pricing, and weak truckload demand. Anticipated Fed rate cuts are unlikely to immediately impact freight pricing. Holiday season parcel competition will intensify, LTL prices will continue to rise, and a truckload recovery remains distant. The index highlights ongoing complexities in the freight sector, with varying performance across different transportation modes. The parcel sector is facing significant pricing pressure, while LTL demonstrates strength. Truckload continues to struggle with soft demand.

01/15/2026 Logistics Industry Insights
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Container Shipping Rates Jump As Demand Rebounds

Container Shipping Rates Jump As Demand Rebounds

International shipping container freight index has been rising recently, with several shipping companies announcing price increases. Experts attribute this round of price hikes to long-term contract negotiations and expectations of demand recovery, but the actual freight rate trend still depends on market supply and demand. It is expected that the freight rate index will decline in the first quarter, and is likely to stabilize and rebound in the second quarter, but the probability of a surge is low. All parties in the market should respond rationally and jointly maintain market stability.

12/30/2025 Logistics Industry Insights
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